These are some of the plays from my modelling of available matchups. Generally the 72 hole plays will have more capital at risk as there is a lower level of variation over 4 rounds, compared to a single round play. Lower variation implies lower risk, which means we can be more confident about our investment (assuming our method of calculating probabilities is sound). One footnote, the plays on KJ Choi were done prior to realising he was partnered with Tiger Woods in the first 2 rounds. Given the circus surrounding pants-man Woods, I would be a bit circumspect about investing on KJ. But my money was already down....rub of the green I suppose.
72 hole plays...prices may have changed
KJ Choi -105 to beat Z.Johnson (UNITAB...ties lose)
To win 3 units
KJ Choi -138 to beat Garcia (Pinnacle)
To win 3 units
Anthony Kim -143 to beat Garcia (Sports Alive)
To win 2 units
Marino -120 to beat Sabbatini (5Dimes)
To win 2 units
Kaymer -107 to beat McIlroy (Centrebet)
To win 2 units
Schwartzel -110 to beat McIlroy (5Dimes)
To win 2 units
Round 1: 3-balls
Furyk $1.90 to beat Cabrera/An (Sportsbet)
To win 1 unit
Kim $2.50 to beat Els/Ishikawa (Unitab)
Risking 1 unit
Villegas $2.35 to beat McIlroy/Perry (Unitab, TAB Sportsbet)
Risking 1 unit
Reasons and Excuses
2 weeks ago
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